DAP Fertiliser May Fall Short in the Rabi 2026-27 Season
Official estimates put urea availability above expected demand, while DAP is projected short.
Pakistan's farmers could face a shortage of DAP fertiliser during the Rabi season, even though urea stocks remain at a healthy level.
In this article we set out the official estimates for urea and DAP, and why DAP matters for winter crops. Here is everything you need to know.
The DAP fertiliser gap for Rabi 2026-27
Pakistan is heading into the Rabi 2026-27 season with sufficient urea supplies, but a potential shortage of DAP fertiliser could affect farmers.
Official estimates put urea availability at 3.95 million tonnes against expected demand of 3.596 million tonnes. DAP supplies are projected at 766,000 tonnes, compared with expected demand of 838,000 tonnes, leaving a shortfall of 72,000 tonnes.
DAP is essential for supporting root development and improving crop establishment, which makes its availability important for wheat and other winter crops.
Our verdict
Urea is estimated to be sufficient for Rabi 2026-27. DAP fertiliser is the tight product: projected supply is 72,000 tonnes below expected demand, so a shortage is a risk, not a figure already recorded as stock on hand.
Follow for more updates.
Frequently asked questions
Is there a DAP fertiliser shortage now?
The update says farmers could face one during the Rabi season. Supplies are projected short of expected demand.
What are the DAP figures?
Projected supply of 766,000 tonnes against expected demand of 838,000 tonnes, a shortfall of 72,000 tonnes.
What about urea?
Availability is estimated at 3.95 million tonnes against expected demand of 3.596 million tonnes, described as sufficient and healthy.
Why does DAP matter?
It supports root development and crop establishment, including for wheat and other winter crops.
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